---
title: "Bolivar vs Gremio"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/bolivar-vs-gremio
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-23T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-24T01:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-24T00:01:20+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1881824.25
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi"]
categories: ["Sports", "Soccer"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-13T00:40:30+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/bolivar-vs-gremio
---

# Bolivar vs Gremio

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-23 00:00 UTC · $1,881,824 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi

## Result

**Bolívar** won. Settled 2026-07-24.

## About

This snapshot covers the CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture between Bolívar and Grêmio, originally scheduled for July 23, 2026, with markets listed on Kalshi and Azuro. Traders could take positions on the outright result, first-half winner, total goals scored (across multiple thresholds), and the regulation-time spread. The event is now closed, with total volume of roughly $1.88M concentrated overwhelmingly in Kalshi's main match-winner market ($1.36M) and its total-goals market ($366K).

Bolívar sits as the clear favourite at 99.0% on Kalshi, with Grêmio priced at just 1.0% and a Grêmio blowout (winning by more than 2.5 goals) also at 1.0%. Kalshi's goals markets similarly point to a scoring-heavy result: Over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5 and 4.5 goals all trade at 99.0%, while higher thresholds (5.5 through 9.5) collapse to 1.0%. Azuro's parallel three-way market is thinner and less decisive, showing Bolívar around 62.5%, the draw at 36.8%, and Grêmio at 27.3%.

The one notable cross-platform gap is on the Draw: Kalshi implies 1.0% versus Azuro's 25.3%, a spread of about 24 points. Overall, Kalshi's deeper markets price this as a near-certain Bolívar win with goals, while Azuro's low-liquidity book remains materially more cautious on the same outcomes.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-24; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Regulation Time Total Goals — 6 outcomes
- Regulation Time Spread — 4 outcomes
- First Half Winner — 3 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Double Chance — 3 outcomes
- Total O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Half - Gremio RS - Total Goals — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 3 — 3 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 10 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 8 outcomes
- Total O/U 1.5 — 8 outcomes
- 1st Half - Total Goal — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Half - Club Bolivar - Total Goals — 2 outcomes
- 2nd Half - Total Goal — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 1 — 3 outcomes
- 1st Half - Total Goal — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 1 outcomes
- Total Goals Odd/Even — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 2 — 3 outcomes
- 1st Half - Total Goal — 2 outcomes
- Both Teams To Score & Full Time Result — 6 outcomes
- 1st Half - Total Goal — 1 outcomes
- Draw no bet — 2 outcomes
- 1st Half - Club Bolivar - Total Goals — 2 outcomes
- 2nd Half - Total Goal — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -4 — 3 outcomes
- 1st Half - Club Bolivar - Total Goals — 2 outcomes
- Both Teams To Score — 2 outcomes
- 2nd Half - Club Bolivar Individual Total Goal — 2 outcomes
- 1st Half - Winner — 3 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Half - Both Teams To Score — 2 outcomes
- 1st Half - Gremio RS - Total Goals — 2 outcomes
- 1st Half - Double Chance — 3 outcomes
- 1st Half - European handicap (3 way) Goal — 3 outcomes
- 2nd Half - Full time result Goal — 3 outcomes
- Half with most Goals — 3 outcomes
- … and 5 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/85297?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/68847?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/bolivar-vs-gremio.

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