---
title: "Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/bosnia-and-herzegovina-parliamentary-election-3rd-place
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-10-04T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 124248.93
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:48:24+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/bosnia-and-herzegovina-parliamentary-election-3rd-place
---

# Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Live · $124,249 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## About

Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority’s final seat allocation order. Total seats in the 42-member House of Representatives count: 28 Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina seats and 14 Republika Srpska seats, including constituency and compensatory mandates. The Central Election Commission’s final certified seat allocation controls.

Each certified party or joint list counts as one entity. Its seats across both entities are combined; separate lists are not combined for post-election coalitions.

In case of exact ties for 3rd place, markets resolve proportionally ($1 divided by the number of tied entities, rounded down). An unlisted party or coalition achieving the specified rank resolves all named markets to No. Candidates or parties who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on their certified results. The full rules govern cancellation, postponement and unavailable certified results.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDP | 87% | 86¢ on Polymarket | 92¢ | 88¢ |
| HDZ BiH | 11% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ | 18¢ |
| SNSD | 5% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | 10¢ |
| SDA | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | 2.4¢ |
| NiP | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | 9.1¢ |
| DF | — | 0.9¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ | 0.9¢ |
| SDS | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | 1.2¢ |
| NS | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Hrvatska petorka | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| ZPR | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| SBB | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| SBiH | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Ujedinjena Srpska | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| SPS | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Volja Naroda | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| PSS | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| BHI | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| NES/PDA/Naprijed | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Crvene linije | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| BH Zeleni | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Laburisti | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Republikanci | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| SP-DEMOS | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| DNS-NPS | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |
| Narodni front | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/531136?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/486783?via=md)

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Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/bosnia-and-herzegovina-parliamentary-election-3rd-place.

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