---
title: "Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — Vote Percent - Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-vote-percent-vote-percent-luiz-inacio-lula-da-silva
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-10-25T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 29648.63
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T06:14:02+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-vote-percent-vote-percent-luiz-inacio-lula-da-silva
---

# Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent — Vote Percent - Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Live · $29,649 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the second round (runoff), calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results. Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | — | — | — |
| At least 45% | 96% | 96¢ on Kalshi | 96¢ |
| At least 46% | 84% | 85¢ on Kalshi | 86¢ |
| At least 47% | 76% | 78¢ on Kalshi | 78¢ |
| At least 48% | 51% | 54¢ on Kalshi | 54¢ |
| At least 49% | 35% | 35¢ on Kalshi | 35¢ |
| At least 50% | 17% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| At least 51% | — | — | — |
| At least 52% | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/733072?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/brazil-presidential-runoff-lula-vote-percent-vote-percent-luiz-inacio-lula-da-silva.

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