---
title: "Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — On Oct 25, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/brazil-presidential-runoff-which-countries-will-flavio-bolsonaro-win-on-oct-25-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-10-25T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 6521.29
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:38:58+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/brazil-presidential-runoff-which-countries-will-flavio-bolsonaro-win-on-oct-25-2026
---

# Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win? — On Oct 25, 2026

Live · $6,521 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Ranking is determined by the specified counting method:
Rank is based on runoff vote totals only

In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.

Each market ranks the runoff votes cast by Brazilian voters in the named country, as reported in the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) Exterior results for that country.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 72% | 72¢ on Kalshi | 72¢ |
| Colombia | 61% | 61¢ on Kalshi | 61¢ |
| Uruguay | 28% | 29¢ on Kalshi | 29¢ |
| Chile | 26% | 26¢ on Kalshi | 26¢ |
| Costa Rica | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/733964?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/brazil-presidential-runoff-which-countries-will-flavio-bolsonaro-win-on-oct-25-2026.

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