This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 9 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 9 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
_From Limitless's listing._ ## Main market | Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Limitless | Polymarket US | |---|---|---|---|---| | Up | 96% | 96¢ on Limitless | 96¢ | — | | Yes | 76% | 77¢ on Polymarket US | — | 77¢ | | No | 24% | 25¢ on Polymarket US | — | 25¢ | | Down | 5% | 4.6¢ on Limitless | 4.6¢ | — | ## Open on a venue - [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/763426?via=md) - [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/767112?via=md) --- Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/btc-up-or-down-daily-limitless-43af84bb. BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.