---
title: "CA-04 House winner? — In 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/ca-04-house-winner-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-03T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 57485.45
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:56:16+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ca-04-house-winner-in-2026
---

# CA-04 House winner? — In 2026

Live · $57,485 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## About

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 96% | 97¢ on Polymarket | — | 97¢ |
| Mike Thompson | 79% | 80¢ on Kalshi | 80¢ | — |
| Eric Jones | 23% | 24¢ on Kalshi | 24¢ | — |
| Republican Party | 3% | 3.7¢ on Polymarket | — | 3.7¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/68685?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/6915?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ca-04-house-winner-in-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.