---
title: "California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/california-fair-plan-policies-in-force-on-september-30-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-16T14:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 160341.62
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:21:34+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/california-fair-plan-policies-in-force-on-september-30-2026
---

# California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026

Live · $160,342 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The Underlying is the point-in-time total policies in force (PIF) reported by the California FAIR Plan Association as of September 30, 2026, including residential, commercial, and Businessowner’s Program policies. This is a policy inventory, not policies written during the year or new business. 

The market remains open past September 30 because the September 30 policy count is published later, typically in the following quarterly data release. Resolution uses the first official September 30, 2026 figure; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 680,000 | 98% | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ |
| Above 690,000 | 97% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Above 700,000 | — | — | — |
| Above 710,000 | 25% | 25¢ on Kalshi | 25¢ |
| Above 720,000 | 6% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| Above 730,000 | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Above 740,000 | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/339871?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/california-fair-plan-policies-in-force-on-september-30-2026.

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