---
title: "California Governor Election Winner"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/california-governor-election-winner
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 41736762.43
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:56:17+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/california-governor-election-winner
---

# California Governor Election Winner

Live · $41,736,762 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Becerra | 96% | 96¢ on Polymarket | 96¢ |
| Steve Hilton | 4% | 3.9¢ on Polymarket | 3.9¢ |
| Rick Caruso | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Alex Padilla | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Katie Porter | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Antonio Villaraigosa | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Stephen Cloobeck | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Butch Ware | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Betty Yee | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Toni Atkins | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Kyle Langford | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Chad Bianco | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Eleni Kounalakis | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Daniel Mercuri | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Tony Thurmond | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Michael Younger | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Leo Zacky | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Nicole Shanahan | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Eric Swalwell | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Tom Steyer | — | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 0.2¢ |
| Kamala Harris | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Matt Mahan | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| Elaine Culotti | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4871?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/california-governor-election-winner.

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