---
title: "California permitted housing units in 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/california-permitted-housing-units-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-27T12:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 25623.55
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:12:10+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/california-permitted-housing-units-in-2026
---

# California permitted housing units in 2026

Live · $25,624 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The Underlying is the calendar-year total number of housing units authorized, not the number of permit documents issued. It includes units in single-family and multifamily structures.

Resolution uses the first U.S. Census Bureau state-level release containing complete January–December 2026 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 100,000 | 97% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Above 105,000 | 93% | 93¢ on Kalshi | 93¢ |
| Above 110,000 | 61% | 61¢ on Kalshi | 61¢ |
| Above 115,000 | 14% | 15¢ on Kalshi | 15¢ |
| Above 120,000 | 8% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| Above 125,000 | 6% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/423800?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/california-permitted-housing-units-in-2026.

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