---
title: "Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/canada-expels-the-us-ambassador-by-december-31
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 108.51
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:51:21+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/canada-expels-the-us-ambassador-by-december-31
---

# Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

Live · $109 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.

An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96% | 99¢ on Polymarket | 99¢ |
| Yes | 4% | 6.9¢ on Polymarket | 6.9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/241919?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/canada-expels-the-us-ambassador-by-december-31.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.