---
title: "Carreno Busta vs Auger-Aliassime"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/carreno-busta-vs-auger-aliassime
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-10-12T04:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-25T02:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-12T06:15:04+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2113780.73
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-12T16:10:07+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/carreno-busta-vs-auger-aliassime
---

# Carreno Busta vs Auger-Aliassime

Settled · kickoff 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC · $2,113,781 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket US

## Result

**Felix Auger-Aliassime** won. Settled 2026-10-12.

## About

The following market refers to the Carreno Busta vs Auger-Aliassime professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Other markets

- Set 1 Winner — 4 outcomes
- Spread: Pablo Carreno Busta −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Pablo Carreno Busta −4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Pablo Carreno Busta −7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Felix Auger-Aliassime −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Felix Auger-Aliassime −4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Felix Auger-Aliassime −7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Pablo Carreno Busta by over 1.5 sets — 2 outcomes
- Felix Auger-Aliassime by over 1.5 sets — 2 outcomes
- Auger-Aliassime wins 2-0 — 2 outcomes
- Auger-Aliassime wins 2-1 — 2 outcomes
- Busta wins 2-0 — 2 outcomes
- Busta wins 2-1 — 2 outcomes
- Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Over 2.5 sets — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 17.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 27.5 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/785839?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/785730?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/carreno-busta-vs-auger-aliassime.

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