---
title: "ChatGPT Outage by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/chatgpt-outage-by-polymarket-5f537052
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-04T19:07:56+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1035.08
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-10T04:25:15+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chatgpt-outage-by-polymarket-5f537052
---

# ChatGPT Outage by...?

Settled · $1,035 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

**Yes** won. Settled 2026-10-04.

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' between market creation and the specified calendar day (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.

Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market will remain open until the specified day’s status box is finalized and all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published before the specified day’s status box is finalized or before all incidents that began during the specified date have been resolved.

This market will resolve once the specified day’s status box is finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified date is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Other markets

- October 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/650752?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chatgpt-outage-by-polymarket-5f537052.

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