---
title: "Chicago C vs Pittsburgh"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/chicago-c-vs-pittsburgh
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-24T22:40:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-31T22:40:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-25T01:24:28+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7313516.43
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-13T11:04:54+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chicago-c-vs-pittsburgh
---

# Chicago C vs Pittsburgh

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-24 22:40 UTC · $7,313,516 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Chicago Cubs** won. Settled 2026-07-25.

## About

This is a live MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on July 24, 2026, scheduled for 6:40 PM ET. The moneyline market — the headline contract — asks simply which team wins. On Kalshi, the Cubs are priced at 52.0% implied probability, while Polymarket has them slightly higher at 54.0%, producing a modest 2.0-point cross-platform spread. The Pittsburgh Pirates sit at 49.0% on Kalshi and 46.0% on Polymarket, making this a near coin-flip contest with the Cubs as a slim favourite.

Beyond the moneyline, markets are running deep. The game total market leans heavily toward the over: Pittsburgh boasts the third-best team OPS in baseball at .763, and Kalshi has the over-2.5-runs market priced at 96.0% — essentially a lock. The over-4.5 total sits at 81.0%, signalling a high-scoring expectation. On pitcher props, the Cubs' starter carries a 5-0 win/loss record and 2.57 ERA, while Pittsburgh's starter is 3-2 with a 2.38 ERA — both effective, but neither dominant enough to swing the moneyline decisively. Kalshi prices Jared Jones (Pittsburgh) at 92.0% to record 3+ strikeouts and 78.0% to log 15+ outs, reflecting a quality start expectation.

The Cubs enter having dropped two of three to the Tigers at Wrigley after winning three consecutive series, and Pittsburgh's bullpen has been a sore spot with a 4.42 ERA, with closer Gregory Soto far from automatic and key setup man Evan Sisk out injured. Both Kalshi and Polymarket treat this as a genuine toss-up, with the Cubs' edge barely exceeding the margin of the cross-platform spread.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-24; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- First 5 Innings Winner: Chicago Cubs — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 15 outcomes
- Home Runs — 4 outcomes
- Alex Bregman: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Bases — 9 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 10 outcomes
- Hits — 6 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Pittsburgh Pirates — 2 outcomes
- Alex Bregman: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Draw — 2 outcomes
- Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Bryan Reynolds: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Dansby Swanson: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Dansby Swanson: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Ian Happ: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Ian Happ: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Michael Busch: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Michael Busch: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Michael Conforto: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 11 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/74696?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/53627?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chicago-c-vs-pittsburgh.

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