---
title: "Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/chicago-cubs-vs-baltimore-orioles-polymarket-56ba25bd
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-09T22:35:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-16T22:35:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-10T05:02:22+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7440677.11
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:41:24+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chicago-cubs-vs-baltimore-orioles-polymarket-56ba25bd
---

# Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-09 22:35 UTC · $7,440,677 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Chicago Cubs** won. Settled 2026-07-10.

## About

This market covers the Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB game scheduled for July 9, 2026, at Camden Yards, with a moneyline outcome resolving to whichever team wins. Polymarket, Kalshi and Azuro all list the head-to-head, while Kalshi additionally offers a deep menu of derivatives — spread, totals, first-five-innings, team totals, and player props for names like Alex Bregman, Gunnar Henderson, Pete Alonso, Pete Crow-Armstrong and starters David Peterson and Trevor Rogers.

Baltimore is the consensus favourite at 65.5%, with Kalshi at 58.0%, Polymarket at 59.0% and Azuro at 54.1% — a modest 7.5-point cross-platform spread, with Azuro pricing the Orioles noticeably shorter than the two larger venues. The Cubs sit around 43.0% consensus (Polymarket 42.0%, Kalshi 43.0%, Azuro 47.9%), so decentralised liquidity on Azuro is the outlier leaning more toward Chicago. Totals markets skew slightly to the over, with more than 3.5 combined runs priced at 81.0% and over 6.5 at 65.0%, while Baltimore's team total over 1.5 sits at 93.0%, reflecting expectations of a Baltimore-led scoring environment. Kalshi's head-to-head has attracted roughly $1.59M in volume, dwarfing Polymarket's $445K and making it the reference book here.

Across platforms, traders lean Baltimore by a clear but not overwhelming margin, with Azuro offering the tightest read and Kalshi setting the price the rest of the market anchors to.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-09; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 16 outcomes
- Home Runs — 8 outcomes
- Total Bases — 18 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 20 outcomes
- Hits — 16 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- Hits — 16 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 4 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Team Total — 10 outcomes
- Home Runs — 8 outcomes
- RBIs — 9 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 14 outcomes
- Total Bases — 18 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Chicago Cubs — 2 outcomes
- Adley Rutschman: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Baltimore Orioles — 2 outcomes
- … and 40 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/12675?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7967?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/11066?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chicago-cubs-vs-baltimore-orioles-polymarket-56ba25bd.

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