---
title: "Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/chicago-cubs-vs-cincinnati-reds-polymarket-ecc51383
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-12T17:40:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-19T17:40:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-12T20:39:34+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3533391.61
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T20:28:30+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chicago-cubs-vs-cincinnati-reds-polymarket-ecc51383
---

# Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-12 17:40 UTC · $3,533,392 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Chicago Cubs** won. Settled 2026-07-12.

## About

This market covers the MLB regular-season game between the Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET. Each platform resolves based on which team wins the game, with slight variations in how postponements or cancellations are handled. Azuro also carries a draw outcome, priced at 12.3%, which reflects its three-way sports format rather than a realistic MLB result.

The Chicago Cubs are the consensus favourite at 54.0%, though the edge over Cincinnati is narrow. Kalshi prices the Cubs highest at 54.0%, Polymarket sits at 51.5%, and Azuro's implied number is 49.5%, giving a 2.5-point cross-platform spread. On the other side, the Reds range from 46.0% on Kalshi up to 51.8% on Azuro, with Polymarket in between at 48.5%. Polymarket also lists a binary "Yes/No" version of the Cubs line at 58.5%/41.5%.

Liquidity is concentrated on Polymarket ($28,120), while Kalshi carries most of the traded volume so far. The takeaway: the Cubs are a slim favourite across the board, but pricing is close enough that Kalshi and Azuro disagree on the winner by a couple of points.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 15 outcomes
- Home Runs — 2 outcomes
- RBIs — 7 outcomes
- Hits — 11 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 15 outcomes
- Total Bases — 14 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 3 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 14.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 13.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 15.5 — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Chicago Cubs — 2 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -4.5 — 2 outcomes
- NRFI — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Cincinnati Reds — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Draw — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/22507?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/16659?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/22144?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chicago-cubs-vs-cincinnati-reds-polymarket-ecc51383.

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