--- title: "Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres" canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/chicago-cubs-vs-san-diego-padres-novig-63f5e2fa status: settled kickoff_at: 2026-10-01T02:00:00+00:00 trading_closes_at: 2026-10-30T10:17:17+00:00 settled_at: 2026-10-01T06:09:45+00:00 total_volume_usd: 31272382.04 venues: ["Azuro", "Gemini", "Kalshi", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"] categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"] prices_as_of: 2026-11-08T01:38:52+00:00 publisher: BetCrypto data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chicago-cubs-vs-san-diego-padres-novig-63f5e2fa --- # Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres Settled · kickoff 2026-10-01 02:00 UTC · $31,272,382 traded · listed on Azuro, Gemini, Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US ## Result **San Diego Padres** won. Settled 2026-10-01. ## About This is Game 2 of the NL Wild Card Series, currently live in the middle innings at Petco Park. The market data and live scores tell a very clear story. Here's the write-up: This market covers Game 2 of the 2026 NL Wild Card Series between the Chicago Cubs and the San Diego Padres, played at Petco Park on September 30. A "San Diego Padres" resolution means the Padres win the game outright; a "Chicago Cubs" resolution means Chicago wins. San Diego entered Game 2 leading the series 1-0 after a lopsided 8-0 victory over the Cubs in Game 1, with Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado combining for four hits and two home runs in the blowout. The market has emphatically priced in a Padres win. The "San Diego Padres" outcome carries a consensus of 99.9% across Novig, Kalshi, Azuro, Gemini, Polymarket, and Polymarket US, with Kalshi at 99.0%, Gemini at 99.0%, Novig at 99.9%, and Polymarket at 99.9%. The Cubs, listed as the nominal "current favourite" at just 0.5% on Polymarket US, are effectively priced as a near-certain loser. The live box score shows the Cubs trailing 1–4 through seven innings, with Chicago managing only three hits, which fully explains the near-total collapse in Cubs probability. The Padres scored twice in the second inning via an RBI single from Bogaerts and a sacrifice fly from Salas, and Graeme Sheets added a two-run homer in the fourth to extend the lead to 4–1. The cross-platform takeaway is one of near-total agreement: all five active platforms price San Diego at 99.0% or above, leaving virtually no meaningful spread and signalling that bettors across every venue see this game as effectively decided. _AI-written summary written 2026-10-01; its figures date from then — the table below is live._ ## Other markets - Spread: San Diego Padres −2.5 — 2 outcomes - Spread: San Diego Padres −1.5 — 2 outcomes - Spread: Chicago Cubs −1.5 — 2 outcomes - Spread: Chicago Cubs −2.5 — 2 outcomes - Total O/U 2.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes - Spread: San Diego Padres −1.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes - Tie in 1st inning — 2 outcomes - Tie in 2nd inning — 2 outcomes - Tie in 3rd inning — 2 outcomes - Tie in 4th inning — 2 outcomes - Tie in 5th inning — 2 outcomes - Tie in 6th inning — 2 outcomes - Tie in 7th inning — 2 outcomes - Tie in 8th inning — 2 outcomes - Tie in 9th inning — 2 outcomes - Over 0.5 total runs in 1st inning — 2 outcomes - Over 0.5 total runs in 6th inning — 2 outcomes - Over 0.5 total runs in 3rd inning — 2 outcomes - Over 0.5 total runs in 5th inning — 2 outcomes - Over 0.5 total runs in 2nd inning — 2 outcomes - Over 0.5 total runs in 7th inning — 2 outcomes - Over 0.5 total runs in 8th inning — 2 outcomes - Over 1.5 total runs in 2nd inning — 2 outcomes - Spread: Chicago Cubs −1.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes - Over 1.5 total runs in 1st inning — 2 outcomes - Over 1.5 total runs in 3rd inning — 2 outcomes - Over 1.5 total runs in 6th inning — 2 outcomes - Over 1.5 total runs in 7th inning — 2 outcomes - Over 1.5 total runs in 9th inning — 2 outcomes - Total O/U 5.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes - Total O/U 6.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes - Over 0.5 total runs in 9th inning — 2 outcomes - Run in first inning — 2 outcomes - Chicago Cubs wins 1st inning — 2 outcomes - San Diego Padres wins 1st inning — 2 outcomes - Chicago Cubs wins 2nd inning — 2 outcomes - San Diego Padres wins 2nd inning — 2 outcomes - Chicago Cubs wins 3rd inning — 2 outcomes - San Diego Padres wins 3rd inning — 2 outcomes - Chicago Cubs wins 4th inning — 2 outcomes - … and 532 more _Every market's prices are on the event page._ ## Open on a venue - [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/670092?via=md) - [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/651470?via=md) - [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/645977?via=md) - [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/666000?via=md) - [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/640671?via=md) - [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/642109?via=md) --- Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chicago-cubs-vs-san-diego-padres-novig-63f5e2fa). BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.