---
title: "Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October — October 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/chicago-fed-national-activity-index-for-october-october-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-23T13:29:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1640.26
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:25:11+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chicago-fed-national-activity-index-for-october-october-2026
---

# Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October — October 2026

Live · $1,640 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (“CFNAI”) refers to the headline monthly index published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the CFNAI three-month moving average (“CFNAI-MA3”) or the CFNAI Diffusion Index.

This market will resolve using the value for October 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago release that reports the October 2026 CFNAI. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above -0.30 | — | — | — |
| Above -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Above -0.10 | 65% | 69¢ on Kalshi | 69¢ |
| Above 0.00 | — | — | — |
| Above 0.10 | 26% | 29¢ on Kalshi | 29¢ |
| Above 0.20 | — | — | — |
| Above 0.30 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1022891?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chicago-fed-national-activity-index-for-october-october-2026).

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.