---
title: "Chicago Marathon Men's Winner"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/chicago-marathon-mens-winner
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-11T23:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 935.07
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-10T03:52:00+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chicago-marathon-mens-winner
---

# Chicago Marathon Men's Winner

Live · $935 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve according to the listed athlete who wins the 2026 Men’s Chicago Marathon.

If this athlete is eliminated from contention for winning this event based on the official rules of the Chicago Marathon, this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If an unlisted athlete wins the 2026 Men’s Chicago Marathon, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If no winner is announced by October 18, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source will be the first official results published by the Chicago Marathon (https://www.chicagomarathon.com/results/).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Kiplimo | 55% | 60¢ on Kalshi | 60¢ | — |
| Amos Kipruto | — | — | — | — |
| Milkesa Mengesha | — | — | — | — |
| Tadese Takele Bikila | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Mateiko | — | — | — | — |
| Asrar Hiyrden | — | — | — | — |
| Charles Hicks | — | — | — | — |
| Suguru Osako | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Reda El Aaraby | — | — | — | — |
| Clayton Young | — | — | — | — |
| Sondre Moen | — | — | — | — |
| Galen Rupp | — | — | — | — |
| Brian Kibor | — | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — | — |
| Adriaan Wildschutt | — | — | — | — |
| Vincent Mauri | — | — | — | — |
| Yemane Haileselassie | — | — | — | — |
| Akira Akasaki | — | — | — | — |
| Boki Diriba | — | — | — | — |
| Hendrik Pfeiffer | — | — | — | — |
| Abbabiya Simbassa | — | — | — | — |
| Tsegay Weldlibanos | — | — | — | — |
| Haftu Knight | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick Tiernan | — | — | — | — |
| CJ Albertson | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Mesfun | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Maier | — | — | — | — |
| Murphy Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Castelblanco | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Nobbs | — | — | — | — |
| Nadeel Wildschutt | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Luis Cruz | — | — | — | — |
| Brian Shrader | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Fischer | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Thomson | — | — | — | — |
| Frank Lara | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Tesfu Tewelde | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Fafard | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Martin | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Maxon | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick Cullen | — | — | — | — |
| Afeworki Zeru | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Gregg | — | — | — | — |
| Awet Beraki | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Flanagan | — | — | — | — |
| Shuaib Aljabaly | — | — | — | — |
| Tomoki Ota | — | — | — | — |
| Kieran Tuntivate | — | — | — | — |
| Caleb Kerr | — | — | — | — |

_6 more outcomes on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/778238?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/774443?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chicago-marathon-mens-winner.

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