---
title: "Chicago WS vs Cleveland"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/chicago-ws-vs-cleveland-kalshi-ddb442ef
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-10-03T17:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-01T04:19:26+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-03T20:02:54+00:00
total_volume_usd: 10676766.18
venues: ["Azuro", "Gemini", "Kalshi", "Novig", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:41:36+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chicago-ws-vs-cleveland-kalshi-ddb442ef
---

# Chicago WS vs Cleveland

Settled · kickoff 2026-10-03 17:00 UTC · $10,676,766 traded · listed on Azuro, Gemini, Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket

## Result

**Chicago White Sox** won. Settled 2026-10-03.

## About

This listing covers the Chicago White Sox against the Cleveland Guardians, an MLB game scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Kalshi labels it Game 1. There are two outcomes: a Guardians win or a White Sox win. Polymarket's rules say a cancelled game with no make-up, or a tie, resolves 50-50. Kalshi's rules say a game cancelled or rescheduled more than two days out resolves to a fair price. Total volume across listings is about $2.8 million, with Kalshi ($1.07 million) and Novig ($773,278) carrying most of it.

Cleveland is the favourite at a 57.5% consensus. Venue midpoints are Polymarket 57.5%, Kalshi 57.5%, Novig 57.3% and Gemini 58.5%. Chicago sits at 42.5%, with Novig at 42.8% and the other three venues at 42.5%. That 15-point gap points to a modest but clear edge for the Guardians, not a lopsided matchup.

The spread across platforms is narrow. Gemini is the outlier on Cleveland, about 1.25 points above the others, but its listing shows $2,640 in volume and no liquidity. The White Sox spread is just 0.25 points. Azuro was left out of the consensus because it has no liquidity.

Overall, the venues with real liquidity price this game almost identically, so cross-platform disagreement is minimal.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-03; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians −2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Brayan Rocchio: 2+ Home Runs — 2 outcomes
- Extra innings? — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jo Adell: 1+ Hits — 2 outcomes
- José Ramírez: 1+ Rbis — 2 outcomes
- José Ramírez: 1+ Hits + Runs + Rbis — 2 outcomes
- Parker Messick: 4+ Strikeouts — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Moneyline — 3 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- José Ramírez: 2+ Total Bases — 2 outcomes
- José Ramírez: 1+ Stolen Bases — 2 outcomes
- First Inning Run — 2 outcomes
- First 7 Innings Moneyline — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings Moneyline — 1 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians −1.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- 9th Inning Winner: Chicago White Sox — 2 outcomes
- 8th Inning Winner: Chicago White Sox — 2 outcomes
- 7th Inning Winner: Chicago White Sox — 2 outcomes
- 6th Inning Winner: Chicago White Sox — 2 outcomes
- 5th Inning Winner: Chicago White Sox — 2 outcomes
- 4th Inning Winner: Chicago White Sox — 2 outcomes
- 3rd Inning Winner: Chicago White Sox — 2 outcomes
- 2nd Inning Winner: Chicago White Sox — 2 outcomes
- 1st Inning Winner: Chicago White Sox — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Chicago White Sox (f5) — 2 outcomes
- Colson Montgomery: 1+ Stolen Bases — 1 outcomes
- Munetaka Murakami: 1+ Stolen Bases — 1 outcomes
- Braden Montgomery: 1+ Home Runs — 2 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Chicago White Sox O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 456 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/702007?via=md)
- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/676164?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/675819?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/678645?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/679031?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chicago-ws-vs-cleveland-kalshi-ddb442ef.

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