---
title: "Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/chopsticks-catch-a-starship-upper-stage-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2878.07
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T06:04:13+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chopsticks-catch-a-starship-upper-stage-by
---

# Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?

Live · $2,878 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.

If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## August 31, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | — |
| No | — | — | — |

## Other markets

- September 30, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- October 31, 2026 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/204666?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/chopsticks-catch-a-starship-upper-stage-by.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.