---
title: "Cilekler vs Misa Esports"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/cilekler-vs-misa-esports
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-07T15:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-08T15:10:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-07T17:39:34+00:00
total_volume_usd: 34401.84
venues: ["Kalshi", "Limitless", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Esports"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:04:25+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/cilekler-vs-misa-esports
---

# Cilekler vs Misa Esports

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-07 15:00 UTC · $34,402 traded · listed on Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket

## Result

**Cilekler** won. Settled 2026-07-07.

## About

This market covers a Valorant match between Misa Esports and Çilekler in the VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier 2026 Group D, a best-of-three originally scheduled for July 7. Kalshi's headline market resolves Yes if Cilekler wins, while Polymarket lists separate outcomes for each team, plus a wide array of map-level and total-rounds (Over/Under) side markets. If the match is cancelled or ends in a tie, Polymarket resolves 50-50, with vlr.gg as the resolution source.

On the main match line, Misa Esports is the clear favourite at a consensus 84.0%, priced at 82.0% on Kalshi against Çilekler at 24.0% on the same venue — implying a Misa win probability roughly three to four times higher than Çilekler's. Polymarket's map-specific and player-prop markets are much tighter, clustering between 42% and 58%, which is typical for individual maps within a lopsided series. A handful of extreme 99.9% lines appear to be already-settled sub-markets rather than live pricing. Cross-platform spreads are effectively zero on the headline, so there is no meaningful arbitrage between Kalshi and Polymarket here.

Volume is thin — about $2,820 across the event — so prices reflect a small number of informed bettors rather than deep liquidity. The takeaway: books strongly agree Misa Esports should take the series, but individual maps are viewed as close to coin flips.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-07; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Map 2 — 2 outcomes
- VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup D: Map 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup D: Map 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup D: Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 — 2 outcomes
- VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup D: Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 — 2 outcomes
- VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup D: Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup D: Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup D: Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Goup D: Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4102?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4651?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/8263?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/cilekler-vs-misa-esports.

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