---
title: "Cincinnati vs Chicago C"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/cincinnati-vs-chicago-c-gemini-dd41e910
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-08-28T18:20:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-31T18:20:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-08-28T21:32:49+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7876867.89
venues: ["Azuro", "Gemini", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:46:03+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/cincinnati-vs-chicago-c-gemini-dd41e910
---

# Cincinnati vs Chicago C

Settled · kickoff 2026-08-28 18:20 UTC · $7,876,868 traded · listed on Azuro, Gemini, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Cincinnati Reds** won. Settled 2026-08-28.

## About

This market covers the MLB regular-season game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 28, 2026, with prediction markets spanning the moneyline, run spread, totals, first-innings segments, and a deep menu of player props for hits, RBIs, total bases, home runs, stolen bases, and strikeouts. Kalshi carries the bulk of activity, with the Spread ($435k), Total Runs ($408k), Home Runs ($247k) and Team Total ($120k) markets driving most of the roughly $1.5m in aggregated volume. Polymarket, Gemini and Azuro list companion markets on the winner, first-5-innings result, spread and totals.

Chicago is the moneyline favourite. Gemini prices the Cubs at 73.0% versus the Reds at 29.0%, while Azuro shows the Cubs at 64.5% and the Reds at 37.2%, with a 11.9% draw. On the segment markets, Kalshi has Chicago to win the first five innings at 52.5% and the first three at 44.5%, versus 31.5% and 31.0% respectively for Cincinnati. Kalshi's total-runs ladder implies a run environment centred around 8–9 runs, with Over 7.5 at 61.5% and Over 8.5 at 53.5%.

The most notable cross-platform spread is on the winner: Gemini has Chicago roughly 8.5 points higher than Azuro, a meaningful gap on the same outcome.

_AI-written summary written 2026-08-28; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- First 5 Innings Winner: Cincinnati Reds — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 17 outcomes
- Spread — 12 outcomes
- RBIs — 39 outcomes
- Home Runs — 35 outcomes
- Hits — 56 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Alex Bregman: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 14 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Total Bases — 68 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 90 outcomes
- Chicago C wins by more than 1.5 runs — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 11 outcomes
- Jose Trevino: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Jose Trevino: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- David Peterson: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Carson Kelly: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Carson Kelly: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Michael Conforto: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Michael Conforto: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Pedro Ramírez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Pedro Ramírez: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Matt McLain: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Matt McLain: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Chicago Cubs — 2 outcomes
- Alex Bregman: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Chicago C wins by more than 2.5 runs — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Draw — 2 outcomes
- Dane Myers: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Chicago C wins by more than 3.5 runs — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Dane Myers: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Cincinnati wins by more than 1.5 runs — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Elly De La Cruz: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 30 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/365955?via=md)
- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/369157?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/368254?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/366102?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/cincinnati-vs-chicago-c-gemini-dd41e910.

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