---
title: "Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/cleveland-guardians-vs-cincinnati-reds-polymarket-27fd1faf
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-29T23:10:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-05T23:10:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-30T02:14:28+00:00
total_volume_usd: 6570918.23
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T20:31:48+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/cleveland-guardians-vs-cincinnati-reds-polymarket-27fd1faf
---

# Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-29 23:10 UTC · $6,570,918 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Cleveland Guardians** won. Settled 2026-07-30.

## About

This is the July 29 game that is still upcoming per the snapshot (7:10 PM ET). The search confirms the July 29 matchup features Joey Cantillo (CLE, 8-6, 4.02 ERA) vs. Brady Singer (CIN, 5-9, 4.53 ERA), and shows recent series context. No further search needed.

The July 29 evening game at Great American Ball Park between the Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds is the centrepiece of this snapshot, with markets spread across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Azuro covering everything from the moneyline to individual player props. On the moneyline — the highest-volume market at over $1.47M on Kalshi alone — the Cincinnati Reds are the narrow favourite at 52.0%, with Cleveland priced at 49.0% on both Kalshi and Polymarket. ESPN's analytics model had Cleveland listed as the moneyline favourite at -143 heading into the game, a slight divergence from the prediction markets' lean toward Cincinnati. The matchup sends Joey Cantillo (8-6, 4.02 ERA) to the mound for Cleveland against Brady Singer (5-9, 4.53 ERA) for Cincinnati, giving Cleveland a modest pitching edge by ERA that may explain lingering support for the Guardians.

Context from the doubleheader on July 28 is relevant: Cleveland snapped a five-game losing streak with a 6-5 come-from-behind win in the afternoon game, while the Reds responded with a 2-0 shutout in the nightcap, with JJ Bleday hitting a solo home run and five Cincinnati pitchers combining for the win. The split likely keeps the moneyline close. Azuro prices Cincinnati at 60.6% — a notable 8–9 point premium over both Kalshi and Polymarket — representing the most meaningful cross-platform spread in this event.

On Kalshi, the over/under on total runs is set at 3.5, with 68.0% implying the over, while Elly De La Cruz's hit prop sits near a coin flip at 51.0%. Overall, Kalshi and Polymarket align tightly on the moneyline, while Azuro stands as the clear outlier favouring Cincinnati.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-30; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- First 5 Innings Winner: Cleveland Guardians — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Angel Martínez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 14 outcomes
- Home Runs — 5 outcomes
- Total Bases — 13 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 15 outcomes
- Hits — 11 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 15 outcomes
- RBIs — 15 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Brayan Rocchio: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Brayan Rocchio: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Steven Kwan: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Steven Kwan: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Tyler Stephenson: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Tyler Stephenson: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Eugenio Suárez: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Eugenio Suárez: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Noelvi Marte: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 35 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/113588?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/109246?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/84459?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/cleveland-guardians-vs-cincinnati-reds-polymarket-27fd1faf.

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