---
title: "Cleveland vs Chicago WS"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/cleveland-vs-chicago-ws-kalshi-7ebea8ad
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-10-07T20:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-14T20:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-07T23:27:41+00:00
total_volume_usd: 33527535.15
venues: ["Azuro", "Gemini", "Kalshi", "Novig", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-18T07:25:04+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/cleveland-vs-chicago-ws-kalshi-7ebea8ad
---

# Cleveland vs Chicago WS

Settled · kickoff 2026-10-07 20:00 UTC · $33,527,535 traded · listed on Azuro, Gemini, Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket

## Result

**Cleveland Guardians** won. Settled 2026-10-07.

## About

This market covers the MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and the Chicago White Sox, listed on Kalshi as Game 3 and scheduled for October 7, 2026 (4:00 PM EDT per Kalshi). The two outcomes are a Guardians win or a White Sox win. Rules differ slightly by venue: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game is cancelled or pushed back more than two days, while Polymarket resolves 50-50 if the game is cancelled without a make-up or ends in a tie. Polymarket's listing gives a different start time (3:33 AM ET) from Kalshi's.

The White Sox are a slight favourite at a 51.9% consensus, with the Guardians at 48.1%. Venue midpoints for Chicago are 51.5% on Polymarket and Kalshi, 52.3% on Novig and 52.5% on Gemini. Cleveland sits at 48.5% on Polymarket and Kalshi, 47.8% on Novig and 47.5% on Gemini. A gap of under four points signals a market that sees the game as close to a coin flip. Kalshi leads activity with about $587,420 in volume, followed by Novig at $372,441. Azuro is excluded from the consensus because it has no liquidity.

The cross-platform spread is just 1.0 point on each outcome, so Polymarket, Kalshi, Novig and Gemini are pricing this near-even matchup almost identically.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-07; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Extra innings? — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Chicago White Sox −1.5 — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- José Ramírez: 1+ Hits — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Munetaka Murakami: 1+ Home Runs — 2 outcomes
- Total Runs — 12 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- José Ramírez: 2+ Total Bases — 2 outcomes
- 9th Inning Winner: Cleveland Guardians — 2 outcomes
- 8th Inning Winner: Cleveland Guardians — 2 outcomes
- 7th Inning Winner: Cleveland Guardians — 2 outcomes
- 6th Inning Winner: Cleveland Guardians — 2 outcomes
- 5th Inning Winner: Cleveland Guardians — 2 outcomes
- 4th Inning Winner: Cleveland Guardians — 2 outcomes
- 3rd Inning Winner: Cleveland Guardians — 2 outcomes
- 2nd Inning Winner: Cleveland Guardians — 2 outcomes
- 1st Inning Winner: Cleveland Guardians — 2 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Cleveland Guardians (f5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Chicago White Sox −1.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians −1.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 (F5) — 2 outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 428 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/750432?via=md)
- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/686744?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/686087?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/733315?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/679018?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/cleveland-vs-chicago-ws-kalshi-7ebea8ad.

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