---
title: "Closest Governor race in 2026? — Before Jan 20, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/closest-governor-race-in-2026-before-jan-20-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-20T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 81946.32
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:29:38+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/closest-governor-race-in-2026-before-jan-20-2027
---

# Closest Governor race in 2026? — Before Jan 20, 2027

Live · $81,946 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Margin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers. For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage. For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts. For yes/no referenda, it's the absolute difference between yes and no percentages. If official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used. In case of identical margins (tied to the hundredth of a percentage point), tied options split the payout equally. Postponed elections or those without sufficient results by the deadline resolve to No.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 24% | 24¢ on Kalshi | 24¢ |
| Ohio | 13% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| Nevada | 9% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Iowa | 8% | 8.1¢ on Kalshi | 8.1¢ |
| Texas | 7% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| Kansas | 6% | 7.6¢ on Kalshi | 7.6¢ |
| Florida | 6% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| Wisconsin | 4% | 4.9¢ on Kalshi | 4.9¢ |
| Nebraska | 3% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Alaska | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| New York | 2% | 2.1¢ on Kalshi | 2.1¢ |
| Michigan | 1% | 2.7¢ on Kalshi | 2.7¢ |
| New Hampshire | 1% | 2.5¢ on Kalshi | 2.5¢ |
| Arizona | 1% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| New Mexico | 1% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Maine | 0.8% | 1.2¢ on Kalshi | 1.2¢ |
| Minnesota | 0.7% | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Pennsylvania | 0.4% | 0.4¢ on Kalshi | 0.4¢ |
| South Carolina | — | — | — |
| South Dakota | — | — | — |
| Colorado | — | — | — |
| Oregon | — | — | — |
| Vermont | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293221?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/closest-governor-race-in-2026-before-jan-20-2027.

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