---
title: "Closest Governor's Race?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/closest-governors-race
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 22851.81
venues: ["Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:06:36+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/closest-governors-race
---

# Closest Governor's Race?

Live · $22,852 traded · listed on Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. 

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. 

If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 20% | 20¢ on Polymarket | 20¢ | 45¢ |
| Ohio | 14% | 15¢ on Polymarket US | 16¢ | 15¢ |
| Nevada | 10% | 10¢ on Polymarket US | 11¢ | 10¢ |
| Iowa | 7% | 6.6¢ on Polymarket | 6.6¢ | 8¢ |
| Texas | 6% | 6.4¢ on Polymarket | 6.4¢ | 44¢ |
| Florida | 6% | 6¢ on Polymarket | 6¢ | 45¢ |
| Oregon | 6% | 5.5¢ on Polymarket | 5.5¢ | 45¢ |
| Kansas | 5% | 4.5¢ on Polymarket | 4.5¢ | 9¢ |
| Wisconsin | 5% | 5¢ on Polymarket | 5¢ | 8¢ |
| Alaska | 5% | 4.6¢ on Polymarket | 4.6¢ | 45¢ |
| Colorado | 4% | 3.5¢ on Polymarket | 3.5¢ | 45¢ |
| Michigan | 3% | 2.5¢ on Polymarket | 2.5¢ | 3¢ |
| Arizona | 2% | 2.4¢ on Polymarket | 2.4¢ | 3¢ |
| New Hampshire | 2% | 2.4¢ on Polymarket | 2.4¢ | 3¢ |
| Vermont | 2% | 1.6¢ on Polymarket | 1.6¢ | 45¢ |
| New Mexico | 1% | 1.2¢ on Polymarket | 1.2¢ | 2¢ |
| Minnesota | 1% | 0.7¢ on Polymarket | 0.7¢ | 2¢ |
| Maine | 0.2% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 0.3¢ | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/8336?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/546974?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/closest-governors-race.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.