---
title: "Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/cody-garbrandt-vs-adrian-yanez
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-11T21:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-12T03:59:59+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-12T03:05:24+00:00
total_volume_usd: 617681.51
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "MMA"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:41:20+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/cody-garbrandt-vs-adrian-yanez
---

# Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-11 21:00 UTC · $617,682 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Adrian Yanez** won. Settled 2026-07-12.

## About

This market covers the Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez bantamweight prelim scheduled for UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 on July 11, 2026. Polymarket resolves on the official UFC winner, with draws, no contests, or cancellations beyond July 25 settling 50-50. Kalshi and Azuro list related side markets, including round-of-finish props and total-round over/unders.

Adrian Yanez is the clear favourite to win, priced at 79.0% on Polymarket and 81.3% on Azuro, versus Cody Garbrandt at 22.0% on Polymarket and 25.0% on Azuro. That roughly 57-point gap on the moneyline signals a strongly one-sided matchup in the market's view, though Azuro's thin liquidity ($1 volume) tilts each fighter slightly higher than Polymarket, where the bulk of the $23.4K in volume sits. On the method and duration side, Kalshi prices the fight ending before round 3 at 46.0% and before round 2 at 30.0%, while Azuro's over 1.5 rounds sits at 67.6% and over 2.5 at 50.5%, pointing to a market that leans toward the fight going past the first round but remaining competitive on whether it reaches the third.

Cross-platform pricing is broadly aligned on Yanez as a heavy favourite, with only minor differences between Polymarket and Azuro on the headline outcome.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Round of Finish — 2 outcomes
- Fight to Go the Distance? — 2 outcomes
- Fight won by KO/TKO? — 2 outcomes
- Garbrandt to win by KO/TKO? — 2 outcomes
- Yanez to win by KO/TKO? — 2 outcomes
- Fight won by submission? — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/22509?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/12965?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7079?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/cody-garbrandt-vs-adrian-yanez.

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