---
title: "College Football Playoff Qualifiers — 2026-27"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/college-football-playoff-qualifiers-2026-27
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-30T23:59:59+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3770890.3
venues: ["Gemini", "Kalshi", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "American Football"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-06T21:53:57+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/college-football-playoff-qualifiers-2026-27
---

# College Football Playoff Qualifiers — 2026-27

Live · $3,770,890 traded · listed on Gemini, Kalshi, Polymarket US

## About

This market covers which teams qualify for the 2026-27 College Football Playoff, with each team listed as an independent Yes/No outcome. It is live on Kalshi, which holds essentially all of the $1.45M in volume, with a parallel Polymarket US book carrying no recorded volume at snapshot time. Kalshi notes it is not affiliated with the NCAA.

Notre Dame leads the field at a consensus 83.5%, followed by a tight cluster of Oregon (73.5%), Ohio St. (73.0%) and Miami (FL) (72.0%), then Indiana (69.5%), Texas Tech (68.5%) and Georgia (68.0%). The gap between Notre Dame and the next tier is roughly ten points, signalling markets view the Fighting Irish as the clearest lock among the favourites rather than a runaway leader. LSU (41.0%), Oklahoma (39.0%) and Alabama (37.5%) sit on the bubble.

The striking feature is the cross-platform spread: Kalshi prices Notre Dame at 86.0% versus just 31.0% on Polymarket US, a 54.5-point gap, with similar 40–50 point gaps on Indiana, Texas Tech, Oregon and Georgia. Given Polymarket US shows zero volume, those quotes likely reflect stale or thin books rather than genuine disagreement. The takeaway: Kalshi is effectively setting the consensus here, with Notre Dame the clear favourite and a dense pack of contenders behind.

_AI-written summary written 2026-08-24; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Gemini | Kalshi | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 92% | 92¢ on Kalshi | 94¢ | 92¢ | 93¢ |
| Miami (FL) | 91% | 91¢ on Kalshi | 93¢ | 91¢ | — |
| Miami | 89% | 89¢ on Polymarket US | — | — | 89¢ |
| Indiana | 87% | 89¢ on Kalshi | 91¢ | 89¢ | 93¢ |
| Notre Dame | 81% | 81¢ on Polymarket US | 83¢ | 81¢ | 81¢ |
| Alabama | 68% | 69¢ on Kalshi | 71¢ | 69¢ | 69¢ |
| Utah | 67% | 67¢ on Kalshi | 69¢ | 67¢ | 72¢ |
| LSU | 60% | 60¢ on Kalshi | 62¢ | 60¢ | 57¢ |
| UCLA | 58% | 60¢ on Kalshi | — | 60¢ | 57¢ |
| Ole Miss | 57% | 59¢ on Kalshi | 61¢ | 59¢ | 60¢ |
| Texas | 55% | 55¢ on Polymarket US | 57¢ | 55¢ | 55¢ |
| Boise State Broncos | 54% | 54¢ on Kalshi | — | 54¢ | 55¢ |
| Ohio State | 51% | 51¢ on Kalshi | 53¢ | 51¢ | 53¢ |
| Wake Forest | 46% | 46¢ on Kalshi | — | 46¢ | 47¢ |
| Kentucky | 37% | 38¢ on Kalshi | 40¢ | 38¢ | 34¢ |
| BYU | 34% | 34¢ on Polymarket US | 36¢ | 34¢ | 34¢ |
| Texas Tech | 33% | 29¢ on Polymarket US | 36¢ | 34¢ | 29¢ |
| Tennessee | 31% | 32¢ on Kalshi | 34¢ | 32¢ | 28¢ |
| Memphis | 30% | 30¢ on Polymarket US | — | — | 30¢ |
| Cincinnati | 28% | 29¢ on Polymarket US | — | — | 29¢ |
| North Carolina St. | 28% | 1¢ on Gemini | 1¢ | 1¢ | 28¢ |
| New Mexico | 23% | 23¢ on Kalshi | — | 23¢ | 23¢ |
| UTSA | 21% | 21¢ on Polymarket US | — | — | 21¢ |
| USC | 20% | 19¢ on Polymarket US | 23¢ | 21¢ | 19¢ |
| Nebraska | 19% | 19¢ on Polymarket US | — | — | 19¢ |
| Iowa | 17% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 20¢ | 18¢ | 19¢ |
| Missouri | 16% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ | 16¢ | 17¢ |
| Minnesota | 16% | 16¢ on Polymarket US | — | — | 16¢ |
| Florida | 14% | 15¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ | 15¢ | 13¢ |
| Houston | 14% | 14¢ on Polymarket US | 16¢ | 14¢ | 14¢ |
| South Carolina | 11% | 11¢ on Polymarket US | 13¢ | 12¢ | 11¢ |
| Northwestern | 10% | 9¢ on Polymarket US | — | 13¢ | 9¢ |
| Oregon | 9% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ | 9¢ | 10¢ |
| Kansas | 9% | 9¢ on Polymarket US | — | — | 9¢ |
| Arizona | 8% | 7¢ on Polymarket US | 10¢ | 8¢ | 7¢ |
| SMU | 5% | 4¢ on Polymarket US | 8¢ | 6¢ | 4¢ |
| North Texas | 5% | 4¢ on Gemini | 4¢ | 8¢ | — |
| Louisville | 4% | 3¢ on Polymarket US | 7¢ | 5¢ | 3¢ |
| Oklahoma State | 4% | 4¢ on Polymarket US | 6¢ | 4¢ | 4¢ |
| Oregon State Beavers | 4% | 1¢ on Polymarket US | — | 5¢ | 1¢ |
| James Madison | 3% | 1¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | 1¢ | 3¢ |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 3% | 1¢ on Kalshi | — | 1¢ | 3¢ |
| Baylor | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | 7¢ | 5¢ | 2¢ |
| Virginia Tech | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | 5¢ | 3¢ | 2¢ |
| Auburn | 2% | 1¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 1¢ | 2¢ |
| Texas A&M | 2% | 1¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ | 1¢ | 2¢ |
| Oklahoma | 2% | 1¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 1¢ | 2¢ |
| Michigan | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | 4¢ | 2¢ | 2¢ |
| Nittany Lions | 2% | 1¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 1¢ | 2¢ |
| Washington | 2% | 1¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 1¢ | 2¢ |

_18 more outcomes on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299883?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2595?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/301152?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/college-football-playoff-qualifiers-2026-27).

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