---
title: "Colorado vs San Diego"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/colorado-vs-san-diego
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-29T01:40:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-05T01:40:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-29T05:09:30+00:00
total_volume_usd: 14967303.25
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Baseball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:47:00+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/colorado-vs-san-diego
---

# Colorado vs San Diego

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-29 01:40 UTC · $14,967,303 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**San Diego Padres** won. Settled 2026-07-29.

## About

This market covers the July 28 MLB matchup between the Colorado Rockies and the San Diego Padres at Petco Park, with both Polymarket and Kalshi listing a range of game and player prop markets totalling over $1.5 million in combined volume. The moneyline is the headline market: on Polymarket, San Diego is the clear favourite at 69.9%, while Kalshi pegs the Padres at 68.0% — a tight 1.9-point cross-platform spread that signals strong consensus. Colorado sits at 30.0–33.0% across the two platforms.

The pitching matchup is heavily tilted toward San Diego, with Michael King (6-7, 3.24 ERA) on the mound against Colorado's Michael Lorenzen (3-9, 6.53 ERA), a stark quality gap that underpins the Padres' favouritism. San Diego enters having won three straight, sitting exactly at .500 at 53-53 and two games back of the final NL wild-card spot, adding urgency to every game. Colorado, at 42-65, has dropped two in a row and gone 3-7 over its last ten. Kalshi's spread market — San Diego winning by more than 3.5 runs — sits at 26.0%, while the first-five-innings line leans San Diego at 52.0% versus Colorado's 31.0%, both consistent with King setting the tone early. San Diego holds a 6-1 head-to-head record against Colorado this season, including a sweep at Petco Park in April.

Both platforms agree firmly on the Padres as favourites, with the moneyline spread of under two percentage points representing near-identical reads. The Kalshi player-prop ecosystem — anchored by Fernando Tatis Jr. hit and run markets and King strikeout lines — reflects a game where the Padres are expected to control pace and scoring, making cross-platform consensus unusually tight throughout this event.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-29; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total Runs — 11 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Winner: Colorado Rockies — 2 outcomes
- Ezequiel Tovar: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Strikeouts — 15 outcomes
- Hits + Runs + RBIs — 15 outcomes
- Home Runs — 6 outcomes
- Team Total — 14 outcomes
- Spread — 6 outcomes
- First 5 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Extra Innings — 2 outcomes
- Spread -2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total Bases — 71 outcomes
- Stolen Bases — 11 outcomes
- Hits — 57 outcomes
- RBIs — 39 outcomes
- Outs Recorded — 2 outcomes
- First 7 Innings — 3 outcomes
- First 5 Innings Total — 7 outcomes
- First 5 Spread — 4 outcomes
- First 3 Innings — 3 outcomes
- Spread -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Xander Bogaerts: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Xander Bogaerts: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Fernando Tatis Jr.: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Fernando Tatis Jr.: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Hunter Goodman: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Hunter Goodman: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Luis Rengifo: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- … and 40 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/103379?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/78392?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/colorado-vs-san-diego.

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