---
title: "Criollos de Caguas vs Cangrejeros de Santurce"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/criollos-de-caguas-vs-cangrejeros-de-santurce-polymarket-50e10fec
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-11T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-18T00:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-11T05:23:44+00:00
total_volume_usd: 24651.62
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Basketball"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T17:30:56+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/criollos-de-caguas-vs-cangrejeros-de-santurce-polymarket-50e10fec
---

# Criollos de Caguas vs Cangrejeros de Santurce

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-11 00:00 UTC · $24,652 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Criollos de Caguas** won. Settled 2026-07-11.

## About

This market covers a Puerto Rican Baloncesto Superior Nacional (BSN) matchup between the Criollos de Caguas and the Cangrejeros de Santurce, with the two sides scheduled to face off in what looks like a series of games in mid-July. Traders on each platform are pricing a single question: which club wins the game. Criollos de Caguas is the clear favourite, with an implied consensus probability of 62.5% versus 37.5% for Santurce — a roughly 25-point gap that signals meaningful but not overwhelming confidence in Caguas.

The cross-platform picture is unusual. On Polymarket, where nearly all the $640 in volume sits, Caguas trades at 62.5% and Santurce at 37.5%. Kalshi, by contrast, shows Caguas at 86.0% with negligible volume and liquidity of just $1, so that quote is best treated as a stale or untraded line rather than a genuine market signal. Polymarket also lists secondary 50/50 markets on the head-to-head and an Over/Under, none of which have attracted directional flow yet.

Recent BSN results offer context for Caguas's edge: earlier in the season the Criollos closed out a win over Guaynabo behind a Louis King double-double of 23 points and 12 rebotes, with Moses Brown adding 18 points on 80% shooting and Travis Trice contributing 19 points and 9 assists, underlining the offensive depth backing their favourite status. Santurce has also been winning games, most recently taking a 92-87 decision over the Osos de Manatí, which helps explain why the market still gives them a live 37.5% chance rather than writing them off. The takeaway: Polymarket's tightly traded 62.5/37.5 line is the meaningful signal here, while Kalshi's outlier price reflects an empty book rather than genuine disagreement.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Spread -7.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 200.5 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/16733?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/20477?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/criollos-de-caguas-vs-cangrejeros-de-santurce-polymarket-50e10fec.

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