---
title: "Croatia vs England"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/croatia-vs-england
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-10-03T16:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-06T01:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-03T18:03:19+00:00
total_volume_usd: 9940688.65
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Limitless", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "Soccer"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:37:07+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/croatia-vs-england
---

# Croatia vs England

Settled · kickoff 2026-10-03 16:00 UTC · $9,940,689 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Limitless, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## Result

**England** won. Settled 2026-10-03.

## About

Croatia host England in a UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 3, 2026, listed across Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig, Azuro, Limitless and Polymarket US, with total volume of about $2.82 million. The three main outcomes are an England win, a Croatia win, or a draw. Kalshi's rules settle on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

England are the clear favourite at a consensus 56.5%, ahead of the draw at 23.5% and Croatia at 19.5%. England's edge of roughly 37 points over Croatia indicates that markets broadly expect the visitors to win, though a combined 43% chance of a draw or home win shows the outcome is far from settled. Kalshi and Polymarket, the two deepest venues, align exactly on all three outcomes (56.5%, 23.5% and 19.5%).

The widest divergence comes from Azuro, which prices Croatia at 22.5% against 18.5% on Polymarket US, a 3.97-point spread. Azuro also shows the draw at 26.6%, versus a 23.5–24.0% range elsewhere. Azuro's figures sit higher across all three outcomes, which suggests a larger built-in margin rather than a distinct view of the match. England's pricing is tightest, ranging only from 56.5% to 57.8%.

Overall, the major platforms agree closely on England as favourite, and the notable spreads are confined mainly to Azuro's thinner market on the draw and Croatia outcomes.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-03; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total Corners O/U 7.5 — 4 outcomes
- First Team to Score: Croatia — 2 outcomes
- Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 0 England — 2 outcomes
- Second Half Result: Croatia (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Halftime Result: Croatia — 2 outcomes
- ENG wins 1-0 in 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes
- CRO wins 2-0 in 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes
- Other in 1st half (1h) — 1 outcomes
- CRO wins 2-0 — 2 outcomes
- Croatia scores first in the first half (1h) — 2 outcomes
- ENG wins 2-0 in 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes
- England wins 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes
- CRO wins 1-0 in 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes
- Draw 0-0 — 2 outcomes
- ENG wins 1-0 — 2 outcomes
- ENG wins 2-0 — 2 outcomes
- ENG wins 3-0 — 2 outcomes
- CRO wins 1-0 — 2 outcomes
- Draw 1-1 — 2 outcomes
- ENG wins 2-1 — 2 outcomes
- ENG wins 3-1 — 2 outcomes
- CRO wins 2-1 — 2 outcomes
- Draw 2-2 — 2 outcomes
- ENG wins 3-2 — 2 outcomes
- CRO wins 3-0 — 2 outcomes
- CRO wins 3-1 — 2 outcomes
- CRO wins 3-2 — 2 outcomes
- Other — 2 outcomes
- Croatia wins 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes
- Draw 0-0 in 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes
- Draw 1-1 in 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes
- ENG wins 2-1 in 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes
- CRO wins 2-1 in 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes
- Croatia wins 2nd half (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Tie in 2nd half (2h) — 2 outcomes
- England wins 2nd half (2h) — 2 outcomes
- Total Corners O/U 6.5 — 2 outcomes
- Both teams to score in the first half (1h) — 2 outcomes
- England scores first in the first half (1h) — 2 outcomes
- … and 584 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/701538?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/600524?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/649317?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/679910?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/576490?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/632069?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/croatia-vs-england.

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