--- title: "Croatia vs Spain — CRO vs ESP (Oct 6)" canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/croatia-vs-spain-cro-vs-esp-oct-6 status: settled kickoff_at: 2026-10-06T18:45:00+00:00 trading_closes_at: 2026-10-09T03:45:00+00:00 settled_at: 2026-10-06T20:40:09+00:00 total_volume_usd: 35191727.97 venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Limitless", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"] categories: ["Sports", "Soccer"] prices_as_of: 2026-10-10T07:12:09+00:00 publisher: BetCrypto data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/croatia-vs-spain-cro-vs-esp-oct-6 --- # Croatia vs Spain — CRO vs ESP (Oct 6) Settled · kickoff 2026-10-06 18:45 UTC · $35,191,728 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Limitless, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US ## Result **Spain** won. Settled 2026-10-06. ## About The game is actually 1-1 at the moment of this snapshot, which explains why the draw is trading as favourite despite Spain's lopsided pre-match pricing. This live UEFA Nations League matchup between Croatia and Spain offers three outcomes — Spain win, Croatia win, or a draw — with the draw currently favoured across markets. The match itself has been eventful: Ivan Perisic put Croatia ahead before Mikel Merino tied the game 1-1 for Spain, which helps explain why the draw has overtaken Spain as the market's leading outcome mid-game. Consensus pricing puts the draw at 50.9%, narrowly ahead of Spain at 45.8%, with Croatia a distant third at just 7.0%. Venue-level quotes show some dispersion: Novig prices the draw highest at 53.3% while Polymarket US is the cheapest entry at 47.0%, a spread of roughly 6.25 points. Spain's probability also varies meaningfully, from 48.3% on Azuro down to 42.5% on both Polymarket US and Kalshi, a spread of about 5.8 points. Croatia's outcome is comparatively tight across venues, clustering near 7–8.5% with under a point of spread, reflecting broad agreement that an outright Croatian win remains unlikely given the scoreline and Croatia's heavy recent defeats, including their worst-ever loss as a team, leaving them third in their Nations League group. With Spain unbeaten in its last several matches and the tie score reinforcing in-game uncertainty, the draw's position as favourite signals traders see a genuine chance Spain fails to complete a comeback, even as Spain remains the more likely eventual winner relative to Croatia. Overall, while platforms largely agree Croatia is a long shot, there is a moderate but notable spread in how aggressively each platform prices Spain versus the draw as the match unfolds live. _AI-written summary written 2026-10-06; its figures date from then — the table below is live._ ## Other markets - Both teams to score — 2 outcomes - Croatia scores first — 2 outcomes - Spain scores first — 2 outcomes - None — 2 outcomes - Draw 0-0 — 2 outcomes - CRO wins 1-0 — 2 outcomes - ESP wins 1-0 — 2 outcomes - Draw 1-1 — 2 outcomes - CRO wins 2-0 — 2 outcomes - ESP wins 2-0 — 2 outcomes - CRO wins 2-1 — 2 outcomes - ESP wins 2-1 — 2 outcomes - Draw 2-2 — 2 outcomes - CRO wins 3-0 — 2 outcomes - ESP wins 3-0 — 2 outcomes - CRO wins 3-1 — 2 outcomes - ESP wins 3-1 — 2 outcomes - CRO wins 3-2 — 2 outcomes - ESP wins 3-2 — 2 outcomes - Other — 2 outcomes - Croatia wins 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes - Tie in 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes - Spread: CRO (Reg. Time) −2.5 (1H) — 2 outcomes - Spread: CRO (Reg. Time) −1.5 (1H) — 2 outcomes - Spread: Spain −1.5 (1H) — 2 outcomes - Spread: Spain −2.5 (1H) — 2 outcomes - Both teams to score in the first half (1h) — 2 outcomes - Croatia scores first in the first half (1h) — 2 outcomes - Spain scores first in the first half (1h) — 2 outcomes - CRO wins 1-0 in 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes - ESP wins 1-0 in 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes - Draw 1-1 in 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes - CRO wins 2-0 in 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes - ESP wins 2-0 in 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes - CRO wins 2-1 in 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes - ESP wins 2-1 in 1st half (1h) — 2 outcomes - Other in 1st half (1h) — 1 outcomes - Croatia wins 2nd half (2h) — 2 outcomes - Tie in 2nd half (2h) — 2 outcomes - Spain wins 2nd half (2h) — 2 outcomes - … and 585 more _Every market's prices are on the event page._ ## Open on a venue - [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/737581?via=md) - [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/617759?via=md) - [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/683100?via=md) - [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/709877?via=md) - [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/603438?via=md) - [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/662533?via=md) --- Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/croatia-vs-spain-cro-vs-esp-oct-6. BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.