---
title: "Curfew in a major French city by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/curfew-in-a-major-french-city-by
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-31T22:59:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-19T20:11:32+00:00
total_volume_usd: 215075.67
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-04T22:29:06+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/curfew-in-a-major-french-city-by
---

# Curfew in a major French city by...?

Settled · $215,076 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

**Yes** won. Settled 2026-10-19.

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a curfew is officially announced in any part of Paris, Marseille, Lyon, Toulouse, Nice, Nantes, Montpellier, Strasbourg, Bordeaux, or Lille, France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The listed cities refer to the municipalities (communes) of those names, within their official municipal boundaries. Curfews applying only to other municipalities, including suburbs or neighboring municipalities within the same metropolitan area, will not qualify.

A curfew refers to a governmental order which generally prohibits the general population from being present in, or moving through, public spaces in a listed city, or a defined area of it, during a specific timeframe or specific hours. A qualifying curfew may be citywide or limited to specific arrondissements, districts, or neighborhoods of a listed city, and must be officially declared by the relevant municipality, the relevant prefecture (including the Paris Police Prefecture), or a French national authority. A broader curfew (e.g. department-wide or nationwide) will qualify so long as it applies to at least part of a listed city.

Unofficial guidance, voluntary advisories, curfews applying only to minors or other specific groups, and conditional or prospective statements that a curfew may be imposed will not qualify. Orders restricting demonstrations or gatherings, closures of specific parks, facilities or venues, restrictions on business hours or sales, and transit suspensions will not qualify unless they also impose a curfew as defined above.

Any qualifying curfew which is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris local time will count regardless of if or when it goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government announcements; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Other markets

- October 24 — 2 outcomes
- November 15 — 2 outcomes
- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/893421?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/curfew-in-a-major-french-city-by).

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