---
title: "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-11-10T00:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1526399858.94
venues: ["Gemini", "Kalshi", "Limitless", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:05:05+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028
---

# Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Live · $1,526,399,859 traded · listed on Gemini, Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

The 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee market lets traders bet on who will carry the party's banner, with each outcome resolving "yes" if that individual wins and accepts the nomination. It is one of the most heavily traded political contracts on record, with roughly $1.5 billion wagered across platforms, reflecting intense early interest nearly two years before the primaries begin.

Right now the field is tightly bunched at the top. Gavin Newsom holds the consensus lead at 16.0%, but Jon Ossoff (15.8%) and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (15.7%) are essentially tied just behind him, meaning no single contender commands a true plurality. Kamala Harris trails at 7.8%, with Andy Beshear and Pete Buttigieg further back near 5%. Cross-platform dispersion is notable for several names: Ocasio-Cortez shows a 5.00-point spread between venues, and Andy Beshear an even wider 5.85-point spread, with Polymarket pricing him far lower than Polymarket US.

This top-three churn is recent and reflects real volatility rather than a settled consensus. Jon Ossoff surged to match Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez atop the 2028 Democratic presidential prediction market, pushing California Gov. Gavin Newsom to third place. Kalshi traders have also priced Newsom higher at points, with AOC and Ossoff close behind, after a Vanity Fair affair essay went viral, showing how quickly sentiment around Newsom has swung. Overall, the market signals a genuinely fragmented, undecided Democratic field rather than a clear front-runner.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-08; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | 16% | 15¢ on Polymarket | 17¢ | 17¢ | — | 15¢ | 18¢ |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 16% | 14¢ on Polymarket US | 21¢ | 14¢ | 18¢ | 18¢ | 14¢ |
| Gavin Newsom | 15% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ | 14¢ | 16¢ | 16¢ | 17¢ |
| Kamala Harris | 8% | 7¢ on Limitless | 8¢ | 8.2¢ | 7¢ | 7.2¢ | 9¢ |
| Andy Beshear | 5% | 2.7¢ on Polymarket | 7¢ | 5.4¢ | 2.8¢ | 2.7¢ | 9¢ |
| Pete Buttigieg | 5% | 5.1¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | 5.1¢ | 5.3¢ | 5.2¢ | 6¢ |
| Josh Shapiro | 5% | 4.7¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | 4.7¢ | 6¢ | 5.7¢ | 5¢ |
| Mark Kelly | 3% | 2.5¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 4¢ | — | 2.5¢ | 5¢ |
| Rahm Emanuel | 3% | 1.8¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ | 2.8¢ | — | 1.8¢ | 5¢ |
| James Talarico | 3% | 2.6¢ on Kalshi | — | 2.6¢ | — | 3¢ | 3¢ |
| Wes Moore | 2% | 2.1¢ on Polymarket | 3¢ | 2.1¢ | — | 2.1¢ | 3¢ |
| Bernie Sanders | 2% | 0.4¢ on Kalshi | — | 0.4¢ | — | 1.9¢ | — |
| Raphael Warnock | 2% | 1.4¢ on Polymarket | — | 1.9¢ | — | 1.4¢ | — |
| J.B. Pritzker | 2% | 1.3¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ | 2.5¢ | — | 1.3¢ | 2¢ |
| Michelle Obama | 2% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | — | 2.4¢ | — | 0.3¢ | 2¢ |
| Ro Khanna | 2% | 1.3¢ on Polymarket | — | 1.9¢ | — | 1.3¢ | 2¢ |
| Jon Stewart | 1% | 0.5¢ on Kalshi | — | 0.5¢ | — | 1.1¢ | 3¢ |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 1% | 0.2¢ on Kalshi | — | 0.2¢ | — | 1¢ | 2¢ |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 0.7% | 0.6¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ | 0.6¢ | — | 0.8¢ | — |
| Cory Booker | 0.7% | 0.7¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.8¢ | — | 0.7¢ | — |
| Chelsea Clinton | 0.7% | 0.7¢ on Polymarket | — | — | — | 0.7¢ | — |
| Mark Cuban | 0.5% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.8¢ | — | 0.3¢ | — |
| Chris Murphy | 0.4% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.6¢ | — | 0.4¢ | — |
| Stephen A. Smith | 0.4% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.4¢ | — | 0.2¢ | 2¢ |
| Hunter Biden | 0.4% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.4¢ | — | 0.4¢ | — |
| Roy Cooper | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.4¢ | — | 0.3¢ | — |
| Ruben Gallego | 0.3% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.5¢ | — | 0.2¢ | — |
| Elissa Slotkin | 0.3% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.5¢ | — | 0.2¢ | — |
| Jamie Dimon | 0.2% | 0.3¢ on Kalshi | — | 0.3¢ | — | — | — |
| Gina Raimondo | 0.2% | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | — | 0.1¢ | — | 0.2¢ | — |
| Zohran Mamdani | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.2¢ | — | 0.2¢ | — |
| John Fetterman | 0.2% | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.2¢ | — | 0.1¢ | — |
| Jared Polis | 0.2% | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | — | 0.1¢ | — | 0.2¢ | — |
| Barack Obama | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.2¢ | — | 0.2¢ | — |
| Hillary Clinton | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.2¢ | — | 0.2¢ | — |
| Phil Murphy | 0.2% | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | — | 0.1¢ | — | 0.2¢ | — |
| Jasmine Crockett | 0.2% | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | — | 0.1¢ | — | 0.2¢ | — |
| Abigail Spanberger | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | — | — | 0.2¢ | — |
| Josh Stein | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | — | — | 0.2¢ | — |
| Hakeem Jeffries | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | — | — | 0.2¢ | — |
| Mitch Landrieu | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | — | 0.2¢ | — |
| Amy Klobuchar | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Kalshi | — | 0.2¢ | — | — | — |
| Chris Van Hollen | 0.2% | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | — | 1¢ | — | 0.2¢ | — |
| Tim Walz | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.2¢ | — | 0.1¢ | — |
| Liz Cheney | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.1¢ | — | 0.1¢ | — |
| LeBron James | — | 0.1¢ on Kalshi | — | 0.1¢ | — | 0.2¢ | — |
| George Clooney | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | — | 0.1¢ | — |
| MrBeast | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | — | 0.1¢ | — |
| Oprah Winfrey | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | — | — | 0.1¢ | — |
| Andrew Yang | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | — | 0.3¢ | — | 0.1¢ | — |

_9 more outcomes on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299814?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292809?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/19141?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4856?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/301164?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.