---
title: "DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/den-broncos-vs-sf-49ers-kalshi-664b169d
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-10-04T20:25:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-29T22:18:05+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-04T23:37:23+00:00
total_volume_usd: 50174267.27
venues: ["Gemini", "Kalshi", "Limitless", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "American Football"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-11T09:12:18+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/den-broncos-vs-sf-49ers-kalshi-664b169d
---

# DEN Broncos vs SF 49ers

Settled · kickoff 2026-10-04 20:25 UTC · $50,174,267 traded · listed on Gemini, Kalshi, Limitless, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## Result

**49ers** won. Settled 2026-10-04.

## About

This matchup pits the undefeated San Francisco 49ers (3-0) against the Denver Broncos (2-1), with the game already underway at Levi's Stadium. Each outcome represents a straight moneyline bet on which team wins; Broncos or 49ers, with ties resolving at 50-50 across most venues. Entering the week, San Francisco had been favored behind Brock Purdy's hot start — the 49ers had outscored opponents 71-43 over three games, with Purdy looking like an MVP candidate, while Denver's defense was seen as his toughest test yet. However, live action has flipped the market: the Broncos took an early 3-0 lead in the first quarter behind a long drive capped by a field goal, and that in-game shift is reflected in the current pricing.

Across platforms, the Broncos now sit as a slight favorite at a 50.5% consensus probability, essentially a coin-flip edge over the 49ers at 50.4%. Venue-level pricing varies more than the headline numbers suggest: Kalshi, Limitless, Gemini, and Novig all have Broncos in the 51.0–51.7% range, while Polymarket US is a outlier, pricing the Broncos cheapest at 46.6% and the 49ers richest at 53.4% — a cross-platform spread approaching 4.6 to 5.9 points. Polymarket's own quote was excluded as stale, likely reflecting slower updates once in-game action began. Overall, the market reads as a true toss-up, with most venues leaning marginally toward Denver following its early scoring, even as San Francisco entered the week as the stronger favorite on paper.

_AI-written summary written 2026-10-04; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Total O/U 45.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 49.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 42.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 44.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 47.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 25.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 27.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 31.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 35.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 37.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 41.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 43.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 55.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 57.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 59.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 61.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 63.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 65.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 29.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 33.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 39.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 51.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 53.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 46.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 48.5 — 2 outcomes
- Denver Broncos over 350.5 total offensive yards — 2 outcomes
- San Francisco 49ers over 350.5 total offensive yards — 2 outcomes
- Both teams score points in the 1st quarter — 2 outcomes
- Both teams score points in the 2nd quarter — 2 outcomes
- Both teams score points in the 3rd quarter — 2 outcomes
- Both teams score points in the 4th quarter — 2 outcomes
- Neither Team — 2 outcomes
- Denver Broncos first to 28 points — 2 outcomes
- San Francisco 49ers first to 28 points — 2 outcomes
- Denver Broncos first to 35 points — 2 outcomes
- San Francisco 49ers first to 35 points — 2 outcomes
- Denver Broncos over 2.5 total field goals — 2 outcomes
- San Francisco 49ers over 2.5 total field goals — 2 outcomes
- Denver Broncos over 0.5 total D/ST touchdowns — 2 outcomes
- San Francisco 49ers over 0.5 total D/ST touchdowns — 2 outcomes
- … and 1190 more

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/651928?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/591787?via=md)
- [Limitless](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/666367?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/621948?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/344012?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/575480?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/den-broncos-vs-sf-49ers-kalshi-664b169d.

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