---
title: "Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) — Before 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/donald-trump-announces-departure-as-president-excluding-death-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-20T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7612825.61
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:11:47+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/donald-trump-announces-departure-as-president-excluding-death-before-2027
---

# Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) — Before 2027

Live · $7,612,826 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

An announcement that the President will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. An acknowledgement by Donald Trump that they will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of a constitutionally or legally mandated term limit does not satisfy the Payout Criterion.

If Donald Trump leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before January 20, 2029 | 24% | 24¢ on Kalshi | 24¢ |
| Before 2028 | 17% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ |
| Before 2027 | 4% | 3.8¢ on Kalshi | 3.8¢ |
| Before August 1, 2026 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2125?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/donald-trump-announces-departure-as-president-excluding-death-before-2027.

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