---
title: "Duerst vs Leykina"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/duerst-vs-leykina
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-10T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-10T10:35:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-10T09:30:58+00:00
total_volume_usd: 86444.01
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:47:33+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/duerst-vs-leykina
---

# Duerst vs Leykina

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-10 00:00 UTC · $86,444 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi

## Result

**Polina Leykina** won. Settled 2026-07-10.

## About

Duerst vs Leykina was a women's professional tennis match staged as the 2026 W35 Hillcrest quarterfinal, with Kalshi's headline market resolving Yes if Jenny Duerst won after a ball was played. The event drew roughly $77.7k in total volume, almost all of it on Kalshi, with Azuro adding a thin secondary book covering handicap, game totals, and set-specific side markets.

On the moneyline, the two venues told sharply different stories. Kalshi priced Polina Leykina at 99.0% to win, effectively treating the outcome as settled, while Azuro's implied price for Leykina sat at just 31.2% — a cross-platform spread of 67.85 points on the same outcome. The mirror image showed up on Duerst: Kalshi had her at 1.0% versus Azuro's 76.3%, another 75.34-point gap. Azuro's derivative markets leaned toward a Duerst-favoured, low-total match (Duerst -1.5 at 54.9%, Under 20.5 games at 57.8%), consistent with its own moneyline but not with Kalshi's.

The cross-platform takeaway: Kalshi and Azuro effectively booked opposite favourites in this quarterfinal, one of the widest same-outcome disagreements observable in the snapshot.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-11; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Handicap -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 19 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -5.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -4 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -4.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 19.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9 — 2 outcomes
- Total Games Odd/Even — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 1.5 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/17180?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/17373?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/duerst-vs-leykina.

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