---
title: "Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/elon-musk-tweets-in-october-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 305442.11
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:34:42+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/elon-musk-tweets-in-october-2026
---

# Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

Live · $305,442 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| <20 | — | — | — |
| 20-39 | — | — | — |
| 40-59 | — | — | — |
| 60-79 | — | — | — |
| 80-99 | — | — | — |
| 100-119 | — | — | — |
| 120-139 | — | — | — |
| 140-159 | — | — | — |
| 160-179 | — | — | — |
| 180-199 | — | — | — |
| 200-219 | — | — | — |
| 220-239 | — | — | — |
| 240-259 | — | — | — |
| 260-279 | — | — | — |
| 280-299 | — | — | — |
| 300-319 | — | — | — |
| 320-339 | — | — | — |
| 340-359 | — | — | — |
| 360-379 | — | — | — |
| 380-399 | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| 400-419 | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| 420-439 | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| 440-459 | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| 460-479 | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| 480-499 | — | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 0.3¢ |
| 500-519 | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| 520-539 | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| 540-559 | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| 560-579 | — | 0.2¢ on Polymarket | 0.2¢ |
| 580-599 | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| 600-619 | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| 620-639 | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| 640-659 | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| 660-679 | — | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | 0.4¢ |
| 680-699 | 0.6% | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ |
| 700-719 | 0.8% | 1.3¢ on Polymarket | 1.3¢ |
| 720-739 | 1% | 1.9¢ on Polymarket | 1.9¢ |
| 740-759 | 0.5% | 0.8¢ on Polymarket | 0.8¢ |
| 760-779 | 0.9% | 1.3¢ on Polymarket | 1.3¢ |
| 780-799 | 1% | 1.8¢ on Polymarket | 1.8¢ |
| 800-839 | 2% | 2.8¢ on Polymarket | 2.8¢ |
| 840-879 | 2% | 3¢ on Polymarket | 3¢ |
| 880-919 | 3% | 4.8¢ on Polymarket | 4.8¢ |
| 920-959 | 4% | 4.9¢ on Polymarket | 4.9¢ |
| 960-999 | 7% | 7.7¢ on Polymarket | 7.7¢ |
| 1000+ | 77% | 77¢ on Polymarket | 77¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/331612?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/elon-musk-tweets-in-october-2026.

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