---
title: "Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/elon-musk-tweets-october-9-october-16-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-16T16:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 357385.12
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T06:09:21+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/elon-musk-tweets-october-9-october-16-2026
---

# Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?

Live · $357,385 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| <20 | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| 20-39 | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| 40-59 | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| 60-79 | — | 0.1¢ on Polymarket | 0.1¢ |
| 80-99 | 0.3% | 0.3¢ on Polymarket | 0.3¢ |
| 100-119 | 0.4% | 0.4¢ on Polymarket | 0.4¢ |
| 120-139 | 0.9% | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ |
| 140-159 | 4% | 3.8¢ on Polymarket | 3.8¢ |
| 160-179 | 6% | 6¢ on Polymarket | 6¢ |
| 180-199 | 8% | 8¢ on Polymarket | 8¢ |
| 200-219 | 9% | 9¢ on Polymarket | 9¢ |
| 220-239 | 11% | 11¢ on Polymarket | 11¢ |
| 240-259 | 10% | 10¢ on Polymarket | 10¢ |
| 260-279 | 10% | 9.7¢ on Polymarket | 9.7¢ |
| 280-299 | 9% | 8.8¢ on Polymarket | 8.8¢ |
| 300-319 | 8% | 7.8¢ on Polymarket | 7.8¢ |
| 320-339 | 6% | 5.9¢ on Polymarket | 5.9¢ |
| 340-359 | 4% | 4.6¢ on Polymarket | 4.6¢ |
| 360-379 | 3% | 2.7¢ on Polymarket | 2.7¢ |
| 380-399 | 2% | 2.5¢ on Polymarket | 2.5¢ |
| 400-419 | 2% | 2.2¢ on Polymarket | 2.2¢ |
| 420-439 | 1% | 1.2¢ on Polymarket | 1.2¢ |
| 440-459 | 1% | 1.4¢ on Polymarket | 1.4¢ |
| 460-479 | 0.9% | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ |
| 480-499 | 0.7% | 0.8¢ on Polymarket | 0.8¢ |
| 500+ | 3% | 2.8¢ on Polymarket | 2.8¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/734750?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/elon-musk-tweets-october-9-october-16-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.