---
title: "Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/ernesta-kareckaite-vs-melissa-gatto-polymarket-us-0ddb3d96
status: upcoming
kickoff_at: 2026-10-10T21:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-10T23:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 74162.46
venues: ["Gemini", "Kalshi", "Novig", "Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Sports", "MMA"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:07:47+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ernesta-kareckaite-vs-melissa-gatto-polymarket-us-0ddb3d96
---

# Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto

Upcoming · kickoff 2026-10-10 21:00 UTC · $74,162 traded · listed on Gemini, Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

The following market refers to the Kareckaite vs Gatto professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Moneyline

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Gemini | Kalshi | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Gatto | 52% | 51¢ on Novig | 53¢ | 53¢ | 51¢ | 51¢ | 52¢ |
| Ernesta Kareckaite | 49% | 48¢ on Gemini | 48¢ | 48¢ | 50¢ | 50¢ | 49¢ |

## Other markets

- Method of Victory — 7 outcomes
- Method of Finish — 4 outcomes
- Round of Finish — 2 outcomes
- Round of Victory — 7 outcomes
- Go the Distance — 2 outcomes
- Decision — 2 outcomes
- Decision / Draw / No Contest — 2 outcomes
- E. Kareckaite by Decision — 2 outcomes
- M. Gatto by Decision — 2 outcomes
- Fight ends before Round 3 begins — 2 outcomes
- Submission — 2 outcomes
- KO/TKO/DQ — 2 outcomes
- Fight ends before Round 2 begins — 2 outcomes
- M. Gatto by Submission — 2 outcomes
- E. Kareckaite by KO/TKO/DQ — 2 outcomes
- M. Gatto by KO/TKO/DQ — 2 outcomes
- E. Kareckaite by Submission — 2 outcomes
- Draw — 2 outcomes
- Fight to Go the Distance? — 2 outcomes
- Fight won by KO/TKO? — 2 outcomes
- Gatto to win by KO/TKO? — 2 outcomes
- Kareckaite to win by KO/TKO? — 2 outcomes
- Fight won by submission? — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- Fight won by decision? — 2 outcomes
- Ends before Round 2? — 2 outcomes
- Ends before Round 3? — 2 outcomes
- Gatto in Round 1 — 2 outcomes
- Gatto in Round 2 — 2 outcomes
- Gatto in Round 3 — 2 outcomes
- Kareckaite in Round 1 — 2 outcomes
- Kareckaite in Round 2 — 2 outcomes
- Kareckaite in Round 3 — 2 outcomes
- Decision or Draw — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/726158?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/728529?via=md)
- [Novig](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/692124?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/695781?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/668046?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/ernesta-kareckaite-vs-melissa-gatto-polymarket-us-0ddb3d96.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.