---
title: "Estonia parliamentary election winner? — in 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/estonia-parliamentary-election-winner-in-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-03-06T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1004.14
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T05:17:34+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/estonia-parliamentary-election-winner-in-2027
---

# Estonia parliamentary election winner? — in 2027

Live · $1,004 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.

Seats are counted as awarded by the National Electoral Committee in the 101-seat Riigikogu, including personal, district and compensation mandates.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isamaa | 42% | 46¢ on Kalshi | 46¢ |
| Centre Party | 38% | 41¢ on Kalshi | 41¢ |
| Social Democrats | 8% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| EKRE | — | — | — |
| Reform Party | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/827833?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/estonia-parliamentary-election-winner-in-2027).

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