---
title: "EU debt downgrade before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/eu-debt-downgrade-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1596.02
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "Markets", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:45:44+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/eu-debt-downgrade-before-2027
---

# EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Live · $1,596 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 84% | 90¢ on Polymarket | 90¢ |
| Yes | 17% | 23¢ on Polymarket | 23¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7515?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/eu-debt-downgrade-before-2027.

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