---
title: "EU dissolves before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/eu-dissolves-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 181123.44
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:57:30+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/eu-dissolves-before-2027
---

# EU dissolves before 2027?

Live · $181,123 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:

1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.

2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
 
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.

EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 99% | 99¢ on Polymarket | 99¢ |
| Yes | 1% | 1.7¢ on Polymarket | 1.7¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5380?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/eu-dissolves-before-2027.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.