---
title: "European Parliament election winner? — in 2029"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/european-parliament-election-winner-in-2029
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2030-06-10T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 6712.86
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T06:13:34+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/european-parliament-election-winner-in-2029
---

# European Parliament election winner? — in 2029

Live · $6,713 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Each option is a political group of the European Parliament. A group's seats are the number of its Members in the European Parliament's seats by political group results as officially announced at the constitutive session of the newly elected Parliament.

Non-attached Members do not count toward any group.

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPP | 70% | 74¢ on Kalshi | 74¢ |
| S&D | 7% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| Patriots for Europe | 6% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| Renew Europe | 4% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| Greens/EFA | 4% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| The Left | 4% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| ECR | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| ESN | 3% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1035118?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/european-parliament-election-winner-in-2029).

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