---
title: "Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T05:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3954222.91
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Crypto"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:59:21+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
---

# Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Live · $3,954,223 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market is a tiered set of contracts asking whether Extended's token, if launched by December 31, 2026, will have a Fully Diluted Valuation above various threshold levels one day after launch (measured at 4:00 PM ET the calendar day following launch). Each threshold has its own Yes/No pair, with resolution based on total supply multiplied by the token price from the most liquid source. If no launch occurs by the deadline, all tiers resolve No. A related Limitless contract poses the same question for a Metamask token at a $2B threshold.

Across the Polymarket ladder, No probabilities decline as thresholds rise: the lowest tiers price No between 98.6% and 96.8%, mid-range tiers show No at 93.0% and 79.5%, and one tier flips to a Yes favourite at 73.0%. Higher tiers then swing back toward No, reaching 58.0% No versus 42.0% Yes at the current pivot, before Yes probabilities fade to 20.5%, 7.0%, 3.6%, 2.2% and 1.1% at the top end. The Limitless Metamask $2B contract sits at 94.1% No and 5.7% Yes.

The nearest-to-even tier favours No at 58.0%, a 16-point edge over Yes. Cross-platform spreads are effectively zero, since each tier is quoted on a single venue.

_AI-written summary written 2026-08-06; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## $300M

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 56% | 57¢ on Polymarket | 57¢ |
| Yes | 44% | 44¢ on Polymarket | 44¢ |

## Other markets

- main — 0 outcomes
- $800M — 2 outcomes
- $2B — 2 outcomes
- $500M — 2 outcomes
- $1B — 2 outcomes
- $3B — 2 outcomes
- $150M — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4966?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/extended-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.