---
title: "Fed decision in Jan 2028? — On Jan 26, 2028"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/fed-decision-in-jan-2028-on-jan-26-2028
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-26T18:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7879.33
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:40:33+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/fed-decision-in-jan-2028-on-jan-26-2028
---

# Fed decision in Jan 2028? — On Jan 26, 2028

Live · $7,879 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fed maintains rate | 67% | 71¢ on Kalshi | 71¢ |
| Hike >25bps | 12% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |
| Cut 25bps | 11% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |
| Hike 25bps | 10% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |
| Cut >25bps | 9% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292868?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/fed-decision-in-jan-2028-on-jan-26-2028.

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