---
title: "Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026 — December 31, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/fed-funds-effr-at-end-of-q4-2026-december-31-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-04T13:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 6446
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:34:20+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/fed-funds-effr-at-end-of-q4-2026-december-31-2026
---

# Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026 — December 31, 2026

Live · $6,446 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.50% | 99% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Above 3.75% | 99% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Above 4.00% | — | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Above 4.25% | 15% | 28¢ on Kalshi | 28¢ |
| Above 4.50% | 7% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/680356?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/fed-funds-effr-at-end-of-q4-2026-december-31-2026.

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