---
title: "Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — December 31, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/fed-funds-rate-at-end-of-2027-december-31-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 115540.82
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:19:36+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/fed-funds-rate-at-end-of-2027-december-31-2027
---

# Fed funds rate at end of 2027 — December 31, 2027

Live · $115,541 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket

## About

If the Federal Reserve specifies a single target rate rather than a target range, that target rate will be used.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Thresholds

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.00% | 98% | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ | — |
| Above 1.25% | 96% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ | — |
| Above 1.50% | — | — | — | — |
| Above 1.75% | — | — | — | — |
| Above 2.00% | 93% | 93¢ on Kalshi | 93¢ | — |
| Above 2.25% | 98% | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ | — |
| Above 2.50% | 88% | 94¢ on Kalshi | 94¢ | — |
| Above 2.75% | 89% | 91¢ on Kalshi | 91¢ | — |
| Above 3.00% | 88% | 93¢ on Kalshi | 93¢ | — |
| Above 3.25% | 87% | 89¢ on Kalshi | 89¢ | — |
| Above 3.50% | 88% | 93¢ on Kalshi | 93¢ | — |
| Above 3.75% | 81% | 82¢ on Kalshi | 82¢ | — |
| Above 4.00% | 81% | 81¢ on Kalshi | 81¢ | — |
| Above 4.25% | 61% | 62¢ on Kalshi | 62¢ | — |
| Above 4.50% | 49% | 49¢ on Kalshi | 49¢ | — |
| Above 4.75% | — | 48¢ on Kalshi | 48¢ | — |
| Above 5.00% | 28% | 42¢ on Kalshi | 42¢ | — |
| Above 5.25% | 22% | 33¢ on Kalshi | 33¢ | — |
| Above 5.50% | 17% | 24¢ on Kalshi | 24¢ | — |
| Above 5.75% | — | — | — | — |
| 6.00% or above | 4% | 5.9¢ on Polymarket | 18¢ | 5.9¢ |

## Other markets

- Exact counts — 14 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/134817?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/608000?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/fed-funds-rate-at-end-of-2027-december-31-2027.

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