---
title: "Fed median dot plot in December 2026 — At Dec 2026 meeting"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/fed-median-dot-plot-in-december-2026-at-dec-2026-meeting
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-09T18:55:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1798.88
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:18:33+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/fed-median-dot-plot-in-december-2026-at-dec-2026-meeting
---

# Fed median dot plot in December 2026 — At Dec 2026 meeting

Live · $1,799 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The Underlying will be the published median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection in the Summary of Economic Projections. It is not the federal funds target range announced at the meeting.

If the Federal Reserve does not publish a Summary of Economic Projections in connection with the Dec 9, 2026 FOMC meeting, or if the Summary does not include a median year-end 2026 federal funds rate projection, all markets resolve to No.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.5% | — | — | — |
| Above 3.6% | — | — | — |
| Above 3.7% | — | — | — |
| Above 3.8% | — | — | — |
| Above 3.9% | 95% | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ |
| Above 4.0% | 89% | 93¢ on Kalshi | 93¢ |
| Above 4.1% | 69% | 73¢ on Kalshi | 73¢ |
| Above 4.2% | — | — | — |
| Above 4.3% | 20% | 24¢ on Kalshi | 24¢ |
| Above 4.4% | — | — | — |
| Above 4.5% | — | — | — |
| Above 4.6% | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/565633?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/fed-median-dot-plot-in-december-2026-at-dec-2026-meeting.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.