---
title: "Fed rate cut by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/fed-rate-cut-by-polymarket-cd4a401a
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-29T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3761648.98
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:07:07+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/fed-rate-cut-by-polymarket-cd4a401a
---

# Fed rate cut by...?

Live · $3,761,649 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". 

Emergency rate cuts will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## September Meeting

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | — |
| No | — | — | — |

## Other markets

- January Meeting — 2 outcomes
- January 2027 Meeting — 2 outcomes
- March 2027 Meeting — 2 outcomes
- July 2027 Meeting — 2 outcomes
- April 2027 Meeting — 2 outcomes
- June 2027 Meeting — 2 outcomes
- March Meeting — 2 outcomes
- April Meeting — 2 outcomes
- June Meeting — 2 outcomes
- July Meeting — 2 outcomes
- October Meeting — 2 outcomes
- December Meeting — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/312177?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/fed-rate-cut-by-polymarket-cd4a401a.

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